The models, documented
Every model that prices a match, checks a forecast, flies a ball or paces a runner on this platform, written up as a specification: what goes in, what it does, what comes out, what it was measured at, and where it stops being trustworthy. The documentation is free to read. A licence buys the reference implementation, the validation data and the right to use it in your own product.
Match pricing
Turn results and shots into a probability for every scoreline, and a scoreline grid into every market on the board.
The machine layer
Guarantees and detectors that sit on top of a forecast: conformal sets, changepoints, an expert mixture, a residual learner.
Markets and staking
Prices to probabilities, probabilities to stakes, and the honest way to measure whether either was any good.
Sports physics
Flight, bounce and drag solved from the forces, with the constants named and sourced.
The athlete
Pacing, fuelling and training load as differential equations with published coefficients.
Evidence and gear
Pooling studies honestly, shrinking across a class, and predicting the products nobody has measured.
Documentation free, implementation licensed
Nothing here is a black box you have to trust. Read the specification, run the model on the live API, check the validation panel against your own data, and licence it only if it earns its place.
The specification
Inputs, method, assumptions, limits and the validation as measured on the day you bought it.
A reference implementation
Extracted from the modules that serve the Arena, not a copy kept in a folder, so it cannot be a stale version of the real thing.
Commercial use
Use, modify and embed it in your own products for one entity. You may not resell it as a library or a course.
A promise about profit
These are estimates fitted to public data. Every specification says what the model was measured at, including where the market forecasts better than it does.
Turn results and shots into a probability for every scoreline, and a scoreline grid into every market on the board.
Family licence £899, against £1,745 bought one at a time.
Guarantees and detectors that sit on top of a forecast: conformal sets, changepoints, an expert mixture, a residual learner.
Family licence £1,199, against £2,445 bought one at a time.
Prices to probabilities, probabilities to stakes, and the honest way to measure whether either was any good.
Family licence £699, against £1,247 bought one at a time.
Flight, bounce and drag solved from the forces, with the constants named and sourced.
Family licence £549, against £698 bought one at a time.
Pacing, fuelling and training load as differential equations with published coefficients.
Family licence £649, against £847 bought one at a time.
Pooling studies honestly, shrinking across a class, and predicting the products nobody has measured.
Family licence £599, against £648 bought one at a time.